I see the Globe is running a story about how the
NDP plan to spend the maximum in the next federal election.
Jack Layton is right to go all-out - the political landscape has never been better for his party to make big gains.
The Liberals are a tarnished brand, engaged in a civil war and led by their weakest leader in a generation. A perfect opportunity for Layton to position himself as the competent left-wing alternative to the governing Conservatives.
Moreover, if Harper looks certain to steamroll Dion, as it now appears, Layton's good fortune is only amplified. In most recent campaigns the
NDP has suffered a last-minute loss of votes to the Liberals. This is likely due to a combination of two factors: 1) where an election is a close contest between Conservatives and Liberals (2004/2006) left-wing voters will rally to the Liberals to avert a Conservative victory; and, 2) where the Liberals appear sure to win (1993/1997/2000) they have ownership of the mantle of the dominant left-of-centre party - meaning there is less room on the left-wing field for the
NDP's alternative version of the cause. However, if a Conservative victory appears imminent, there is little motivation for would-be
NDP voters to switch to the losing Liberals. In fact, where a pragmatic shift in support to bolster the Liberals appears futile, there is all the more reason to take the principled stand with the
NDP.
If I worked for the
NDP I'd be doing everything possible to seize this opportunity. It appears that Jack Layton agrees.